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Products · #03 · Sales & Marketing
TIER S BLUEPRINT

Explainable Lead Scoring

A calibrated probability of conversion and a plain-English reason per lead - not a black-box number sales ignores.

scaffold from €1,290

THIS MORNING'S LEADS - SCORED & RANKED

Inbound queue · 14 new
Tomas V.whitepaper dl4%
Baltic Components UABreferral34%
Eglė M.newsletter6%
Nordic Freight OÜpricing page19%
Darius B.webinar12%

↕ re-ranked by conversion probability - SDRs call top-down

Baltic Components UAB · 120 seats · manufacturing

34%

conversion probability · baseline 3% · 11× the average lead

Why - top 3 drivers
+ Referral from an existing customer
+ Pricing page visited 3× in 48 hours
+ Company size squarely in your ICP (50-200)
→ ROUTED: senior SDR · call within 4h (bottom 30% → nurture, no SDR time spent)
lift@top-decile 4.2× · leakage audit passed · score + reasons → CRM ⛓

How it works

01

Connect the CRM, read-only

Pipedrive, HubSpot, Salesforce or a spreadsheet. Trains on your own closed-won/lost history - with a leakage audit so it only uses what's known at lead creation.

02

Calibrated probability per lead

Not "hot/warm/cold" - a percentage that means what it says. When it says 30%, roughly 3 in 10 convert. Validated on your data before ship.

03

Reasons a salesperson accepts

Top-3 drivers in plain English written into the CRM next to the score. SDRs trust what they can see - no black box, no ignored column.

04

Routing that changes behaviour

Top decile → senior SDR, double touches. Bottom 30% → nurture only. Drift watch on lead-source mix - a new campaign won't silently break the model.

Methodology reference

The published method this build is based on, and what it did in production.

HubSpot

HubSpot scores every lead's likelihood to close and writes the score, plus its top drivers, back into the CRM.

Predictive lead scoring · as reported by HubSpot ↗

Referenced for methodology only. AimRank is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or a customer of these companies; each links to its own public source. Sources last checked September 2026.

The Four Guarantees™ - this build

The scaffold wires all four in. The PoC proves them on your data, as of that day. Only Implementation keeps them true over time: watched, drift-checked, with recourse.

Measured value

+1.5pp conversion at reference volume ≈ €120k incremental ARR. Lift/gain eval gate at your SDR capacity cut-off before ship.

Defensible

SHAP top-3 per lead in plain English; bias controls on scoring features; every score logged with its reasons.

Self-improving

Calibrated probabilities re-checked continuously; lead-source-mix drift alerts - marketing campaigns change, the model notices.

Yours & everywhere

Full CRM round-trip (score + reason written back); your cloud, your source. MCP endpoint for your sales agents and copilots.

The number, sized honestly

Reference buyer: Baltic B2B SaaS or services firm, ~2,000 leads/yr, €4,000 average deal, ~3% cold-to-customer conversion.

+1.5pp conversion lift (3% → 4.5%) - the agreed number (conservative)
€120k incremental ARR/yr ≈ 30 extra deals at €4k
~2 wks payback at the PoC price if one extra deal closes
ECE ≤ 0.05 calibration gate, or it doesn't ship

Three ways to own it

Tier What you get Price
Scaffolding ★ The full repo - model + calibration + lift harness, audit log, MCP server. Your team wires it to your pipeline. €1,290
PoC ★★RECOMMENDED Trained on your CRM history - ranking quality and explanation sanity checked against your closed deals. Full code + quality report are yours. No guarantee yet - that's the point. from€3,900
Implementation ★★★ Production: live scoring in the CRM, queue integration, drift monitoring, retraining on new outcomes, monthly report - the agreed number (conservative) attaches here. from €12,000+ from €900/month assurance

★ = engagement depth. PoC is the recommended path: quality proven on your data before production money. The PoC carries no performance guarantee by design; the agreed number (conservative) attaches at Implementation, informed by the PoC report.

What we don't promise

The model is only as good as your deal history. With fewer than ~500 closed deals on record, expect higher variance in year one and budget for retraining - we tell you this before the contract, not after. And the score changes nothing by itself: the routing rule (who calls whom, when) is where the money is, and your team has to actually follow it.

Ready to see your own number?

Request the build: within 48h you get a personal reply with the value sized to your volume.

No commitment · reply within 48h · your data stays in the EU